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Our research pursuit is to provide market professionals with actionable insights from uncommon perspectives. Twice a month we aim to deliver just that: market ideas developed from a truly original approach of analyzing asset trends and the underlying market conditions that drive them. Often written from a macro point of view, the notes blend current qualitative and quantitative observations through the contextual lens of a rigorous study of market history.

Despite some good-natured wit and a methodology for glimpsing around the proverbial corner, you will not find the pretension of clairvoyance or an unwillingness to adapt with current market conditions. We strive to be on the right side of the tracks, and sometimes – as with our bearish reads of the cyclical tops in precious metals and commodities in 2011 and 2012 or our work with long-term US Treasuries in 2014 and 2015 – we catch the long ride.

In each note, we thoughtfully present our perspectives on equities, commodities, currencies and bonds and shape a market strategy that reflects our long and short market ideas.



“I have been in the investment business since 1975, and was with Merrill, Lehman, & Prudential, and then independently acquired and sold companies for 15 years. During that time of almost 40 years I have subscribed to at least a 100 different independent research reports, and then of course had extensive reports from the firms (and mostly inaccurate analysts) I worked with. And I have to say your analysis is perhaps one of the most unique, and one of the most accurate, I have ever seen.” – XXXXXXXXXX

“To get an informed (read: trustworthy) view we checked in with XXXXXX.

“Even the most beautiful annotated chart can be inaccessible to some, so xxxxx went ahead and invented a whole new genre of looking at market patterns.

… We really think it’s a new genre of market analysis.” – xxxxxxxx